Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 74.76%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 10.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 3-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.