Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Women win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading Women | Draw | Birmingham City Women |
| 64.74% | 20.57% | 14.68% |
| Both teams to score 48.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.81% | 46.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% | 68.48% |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% | 13.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.46% | 40.54% |
| Birmingham City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.39% | 43.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.2% | 79.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Women | Draw | Birmingham City Women |
| 2-0 @ 11.8% 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 6.54% 4-0 @ 3.94% 4-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.76% Total : 64.74% | 1-1 @ 9.79% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.83% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.89% 1-2 @ 4.06% 0-2 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.13% 1-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.46% Total : 14.68% |


