Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Reading Women win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.