Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 79.23%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 7.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Leicester City Women |
| 79.23% | 12.88% | 7.88% |
| Both teams to score 53.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.52% | 28.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.65% | 49.35% |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.37% | 5.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.16% | 21.83% |
| Leicester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.28% | 43.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.11% | 79.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Leicester City Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.19% 3-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 7.08% 4-0 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 5.82% 5-0 @ 4.05% 5-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-2 @ 2.41% 6-0 @ 1.94% 6-1 @ 1.61% 5-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 4.71% Total : 79.23% | 1-1 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 3.49% 0-0 @ 2.46% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.15% Total : 12.89% | 1-2 @ 2.43% 0-1 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.46% Total : 7.88% |


