Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 85.27%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 4.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.8%) and 4-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.91%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.