Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.