Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Ladies would win this match.