Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 71.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 11.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.