Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.