Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 16.02% | 22.11% | 61.87% |
| Both teams to score 47.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% | 50.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% | 72.02% |
| Birmingham City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.88% | 44.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.78% | 80.22% |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.33% | 15.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.3% | 44.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 5.66% 2-1 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 2.31% 3-1 @ 1.17% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.02% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.1% | 0-1 @ 12.8% 0-2 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-4 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-5 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.14% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.05% Total : 61.86% |


