Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 83.71%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 5.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 0-4 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
