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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 1, 2022 at 2.15pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
7 - 0
Aston Villa

Miedema (9', 13'), Corsie (52' og.), Mead (61'), Wubben-Moy (66'), Blackstenius (83'), Parris (90' pen.)
Foord (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Aston Villa Women

Although Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last three matches, we think that they will be unable to trouble the Gunners on Sunday, with Arsenal determined to keep pace with Chelsea at the top of the WSL table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 76%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 8.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.35%) and 1-0 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawAston Villa Women
76%15.25%8.75%
Both teams to score 47.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32%37.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.08%59.92%
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.72%8.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.1%28.9%
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.5%48.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.4%83.59%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 75.99%
    Aston Villa Women 8.75%
    Draw 15.25%
Arsenal WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-0 @ 12.46%
3-0 @ 10.35%
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 7.49%
4-0 @ 6.45%
4-1 @ 4.67%
5-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.71%
5-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.69%
6-0 @ 1.34%
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 75.99%
1-1 @ 7.24%
0-0 @ 4.01%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.25%
0-1 @ 2.91%
1-2 @ 2.62%
0-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 8.75%

Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 5.15pm
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Aston Villa
0-4
Arsenal Women

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Miedema (58'), Nobbs (67'), McCabe (73'), Evans (88')
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