Chelsea Women1 - 0Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in Women's FA Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chelsea Women | 21 | 49 | 53 |
| 2 | Arsenal Women | 21 | 53 | 52 |
| 3 | Manchester City Women | 20 | 30 | 41 |
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Everton Ladies | 20 | -19 | 19 |
| 10 | Aston Villa Women | 20 | -27 | 18 |
| 11 | Leicester Women | 20 | -37 | 13 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 84.57%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 4.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 0-1 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 84.57% | 10.47% | 4.96% |
| Both teams to score 44.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.84% | 29.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.81% | 50.19% |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.15% | 4.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.48% | 19.52% |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.15% | 52.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.44% | 86.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 3-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 11.74% 4-0 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 7.56% 2-1 @ 7.49% 4-1 @ 5.72% 5-0 @ 5.44% 5-1 @ 3.47% 6-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.83% 6-1 @ 1.75% 7-0 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.55% Total : 84.56% | 1-1 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 2.56% 2-2 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.58% Total : 10.47% | 0-1 @ 1.63% 1-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.75% Total : 4.96% |
Hanssen (45')


