Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Mar 13, 2022 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Samantha Kerr 90'+2' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 90'+2' yellowcard

Chelsea Women vs Aston Villa Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 10, 2022 7.45pm
West Ham 1 - 4 Chelsea
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Samantha Kerr

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 5, 2022 11.30am
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Ramona Petzelberger

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 84.57%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 4.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 0-1 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result

Chelsea Women 84.57%
Draw 10.47%
Aston Villa Women 4.96%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.86%

Goals

Over 2.5 70.84%
Under 2.5 29.16%
Over 3.5 49.81%
Under 3.5 50.19%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 95.15%
Under 0.5 4.85%
Over 1.5 80.48%
Under 1.5 19.52%

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 47.15%
Under 0.5 52.85%
Over 1.5 13.44%
Under 1.5 86.55%

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 84.56%
Draw 10.47%
Aston Villa Women 4.96%
Chelsea Women
3-0 @ 11.85%
2-0 @ 11.74%
4-0 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 7.56%
2-1 @ 7.49%
4-1 @ 5.72%
5-0 @ 5.44%
5-1 @ 3.47%
6-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.83%
6-1 @ 1.75%
7-0 @ 1.19%
5-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 84.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 2.56%
2-2 @ 2.39%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 10.47%
Aston Villa Women
0-1 @ 1.63%
1-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 4.96%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Nov 6, 2021 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Remi Allen 56' yellowcard
  • goal Jessie Fleming 22'
  • yellowcard Sophie Ingle 28'
  • yellowcard Jonna Andersson 90'+1'
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Mar 28, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Samantha Kerr 24' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 57' goal
  • yellowcard Olivia McLoughlin 75'
Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Jan 27, 2021 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Nadine Hanssen 45' yellowcard
  • goal Samantha Kerr 3'
  • goal Bethany England 35'
  • goal Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 68'
  • goal Magdalena Ericsson 70'
  • yellowcard Millie Bright 71'