Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 86.53%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.38%) and 0-4 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.51%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
