Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Reading Women
38.05% ( 0.81)	25.22% ( -0.25)	36.73% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.32% (

1.1)

46.67% (

-1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.06% (

1.03)

68.94% (

-1.03)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.83% (

0.94)

24.16% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.51% (

1.32)

58.48% (

-1.32)

Reading Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

0.2)

24.88% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.5% (

0.27)

59.49% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 38.05%

Reading Women 36.73%

Draw 25.21%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Reading Women
1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.05%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.73%