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Women's Super League | Gameweek 8
Nov 20, 2022 at 2pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
3 - 1
Reading Women

Daly (37', 45+2', 76' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wade (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Reading Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Reading Women

All competitions
Last Game: Reading Women 0-3 Man City Women
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-1 Reading Women

 Although Reading have lost five of their six league games this season, they usually perform in meetings with Aston Villa, and we think that they will hold their hosts to a point on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawReading Women
38.05% (0.81 0.81) 25.22% (-0.247 -0.25) 36.73% (-0.567 -0.57)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.855 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (1.104 1.1)46.67% (-1.107 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (1.026 1.03)68.94% (-1.03 -1.03)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.94199999999999 0.94)24.16% (-0.946 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (1.321 1.32)58.48% (-1.324 -1.32)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (0.196 0.2)24.88% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.5% (0.272 0.27)59.49% (-0.275 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 38.05%
    Reading Women 36.73%
    Draw 25.21%
Aston Villa WomenDrawReading Women
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.119 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.163 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.87% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.129 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.094 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.062 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.347 -0.35)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 36.73%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Reading Women

Aston Villa Women
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Reading Women
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 12.30pm
Aston Villa
1-1
Reading Women
Petzelberger (76')
Corsie (89')
Vanhaevermaet (69' pen.)
Oct 10, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
3-0
Aston Villa
Eikeland (16'), Rowe (19'), Dowie (45+3')
Vanhaevermaet (73')
Jan 23, 2021 12.30pm
Aston Villa
2-2
Reading Women
Iwabuchi (55'), Silva (90+1')
N'Dow (30'), Larsen (80')
James (3'), Rowe (57')
Sep 13, 2020 2pm
Reading Women
3-1
Aston Villa
Eikeland (24'), Bruton (40'), Williams (45+3' pen.)
Harding (72'), Bruton (85')
Larsen (79' pen.)
Siems (59'), Larsen (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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