Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Women win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading Women would win this match.