Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
 

Leicester Women
0 - 1
Man Utd Women

FT(HT: 0-1)
Parris (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 4-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 4-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 81.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 5.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.37%) and 0-1 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawManchester United Women
5.71% (-0.1791 -0.18)12.61% (-0.074 -0.07)81.68% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 40.65% (-0.93 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.89% (-0.526 -0.53)37.1% (0.52399999999999 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7% (-0.571 -0.57)59.3% (0.567 0.57)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.68% (-0.969 -0.97)56.32% (0.966 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.34% (-0.565 -0.57)88.65% (0.56200000000001 0.56)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.06% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)6.93% (0.059 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.56% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)25.44% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 5.71%
    Manchester United Women 81.67%
    Draw 12.61%
Leicester WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 1.72% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 5.71%
1-1 @ 5.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.29% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 12.61%
0-2 @ 13.9% (0.27 0.27)
0-3 @ 12.37% (0.2 0.2)
0-1 @ 10.42% (0.23 0.23)
0-4 @ 8.25% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 7.1% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 4.74% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-5 @ 4.41% (0.044 0.04)
1-5 @ 2.53% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-6 @ 1.96% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-6 @ 1.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 81.67%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 12pm
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester Women
1-3
Man Utd Women
McManus (61')
Sigsworth (74'), Jane Flint (86')
Toone (36'), Thorisdottir (47'), Thomas (71')
Toone (58')