Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 90.77%. A draw had a probability of 6.7% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 2.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.25%) and 2-0 (10.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.18%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.