Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
1 - 2
West Ham

Dali (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brynjarsdottir (2'), Hayashi (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and West Ham United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 25 at 3pm in Women's Super League

West Ham United Women

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 West Ham
Wednesday, September 28 at 7.05pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Women win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for West Ham United Women in this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawWest Ham United Women
23.56% (0.09 0.09)22.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.7% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.6% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.69% (0.076999999999998 0.08)42.31% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.28% (0.075999999999993 0.08)64.71% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.116 0.12)31.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.133 0.13)68.04% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)15.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)44.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 23.56%
    West Ham United Women 53.7%
    Draw 22.73%
Aston Villa WomenDrawWest Ham United Women
2-1 @ 6.1% (0.018 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 23.56%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.7%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs West Ham

Aston Villa Women
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
West Ham United Women
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
Aston Villa
1-2
West Ham
Lehmann (42' pen.)
Stringer (12'), Svitkova (52')
Stringer (36'), Walker (40'), Longhurst (60')
Sep 11, 2021 11.30am
West Ham
1-1
Aston Villa
Leon (8')
Stringer (65')
Allen (90+2')
Littlejohn (66')
May 2, 2021 12.30pm
Aston Villa
0-0
West Ham

Iwabuchi (60')
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
West Ham
0-0
Aston Villa

Vetterlein (23'), Cissoko (57')

N'Dow (27'), Gregory (62'), Hutton (90+3'), Ale (90+5')