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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 23, 2022 at 12pm UK
 

Liverpool Women
0 - 2
Arsenal Women

FT(HT: 0-2)
Walti (15'), Maanum (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Liverpool Women
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Lyon 1-5 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Liverpool Women 0-3 Arsenal Women

 Arsenal are currently in fine form, and we think that they will ease to a comfortable victory over a Liverpool side who have lost their last two league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Liverpool WomenDrawArsenal Women
17.31% (0.303 0.3) 21.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 61.3% (-0.285 -0.29)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.674 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.1% (0.585 0.59)44.9% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (0.56 0.56)67.26% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.58% (0.715 0.72)39.42% (-0.713 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (0.659 0.66)76.12% (-0.658 -0.66)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (0.102 0.1)14.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.19% (0.198 0.2)41.81% (-0.196 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool Women 17.31%
    Arsenal Women 61.29%
    Draw 21.4%
Liverpool WomenDrawArsenal Women
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.73% (0.082 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.47% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.31%
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 10.9% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 10.66% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.95% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-3 @ 6.47% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.17% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.041 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 61.29%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2020 7pm
Liverpool Women
2-3
Arsenal Women
Babajide (14'), Furness (45')
Bradley-Auckland (5'), Robe (52'), Babajide (86')
Miedema (31', 78'), Nobbs (33')
Beattie (58'), McCabe (61')
Nov 24, 2019 2pm
Arsenal Women
1-0
Liverpool Women
Miedema (28')
Mar 24, 2019 12.30pm
Liverpool Women
1-5
Arsenal Women
Sweetman-Kirk (76' pen.)
Linnett (78')
Little (20'), Mead (22', 65'), Bradley-Auckland (67' og.), Miedema (85')
Sep 9, 2018 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
5-0
Liverpool Women
Miedema (6', 39', 90'), Evans (14'), Little (35')

Fahey (80')
rhs 2.0
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