Women's Super League | Gameweek 5

Oct 23, 2022 at 12pm UK

Liverpool Women
0 - 2
Arsenal Women

FT(HT: 0-2)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Liverpool Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool Women

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Liverpool Women
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Arsenal Women

All competitions

Women's Super League

Last Game: Lyon 1-5 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Liverpool Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
17.31% ( 0.3)	21.4% ( -0.02)	61.3% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 52.01% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.1% (

0.59)

44.9% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.74% (

0.56)

67.26% (

-0.56)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.58% (

0.72)

39.42% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.88% (

0.66)

76.12% (

-0.66)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

0.1)

14.14% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.19% (

0.2)

41.81% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Liverpool Women 17.31%

Arsenal Women 61.29%

Draw 21.4%

Liverpool Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.31%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.4%	0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 10.66% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.95% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 61.29%