Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Groupama OL Training Center

Lyon
1 - 5
Arsenal Women

Malard (27')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Foord (13', 67'), Maanum (23'), Mead (45+1', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Lyon Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon Women

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Last Game: Barcelona 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Reading Women 0-1 Arsenal Women
Sunday, October 16 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Lyon WomenDrawArsenal Women
49.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.42% (0.013000000000002 0.01)29.19% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 68.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.02% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.97% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.64% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)52.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.87% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)13.12% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)39.77% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.050000000000011 -0.05)21.65% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)54.78% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lyon Women 49.39%
    Arsenal Women 29.19%
    Draw 21.42%
Lyon WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.77% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 8.83% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 2.84% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.35% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.19%

How you voted: Lyon vs Arsenal Women

Lyon Women
45.0%
Draw
30.0%
Arsenal Women
25.0%
20