Women's Champions League | Final
May 21, 2022 at 6pm UK
Allianz Stadium

Barcelona
1 - 3
Lyon

Putellas (41')
Pilar Leon (33'), Paredes (85')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Henry (6'), Hegerberg (23'), Macario (33')
Hegerberg (45+3'), Macario (64'), Morroni (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Barcelona 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Barcelona 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.67%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona WomenDrawLyon Women
54.42% (0.657 0.66)20.33% (0.074999999999999 0.07)25.24% (-0.738 -0.74)
Both teams to score 68.51% (-1.124 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.08% (-1.118 -1.12)28.92% (1.112 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.12% (-1.381 -1.38)49.88% (1.375 1.38)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02% (-0.196 -0.2)10.97% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.78% (-0.428 -0.43)35.22% (0.422 0.42)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-1.095 -1.1)23.03% (1.089 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (-1.631 -1.63)56.85% (1.625 1.63)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona Women 54.43%
    Lyon Women 25.24%
    Draw 20.33%
Barcelona WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.065 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.302 0.3)
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.315 0.32)
3-2 @ 4.9% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.55% (0.188 0.19)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.33% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.2% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.43%
1-1 @ 8.2% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.161 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.4% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 25.24%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Lyon

Barcelona Women
69.7%
Draw
12.1%
Lyon Women
18.2%
33