Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2022 at 8pm UK
Juventus Training Center

Juventus
1 - 1
Arsenal Women

Beerensteyn (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Miedema (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Juventus Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus Women

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Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Lyon
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-3 Man Utd Women
Saturday, November 19 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus Women win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Juventus WomenDrawArsenal Women
39.67% (0.246 0.25)23.87% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)36.46% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Both teams to score 61.89% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (0.33600000000001 0.34)40.29% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (0.346 0.35)62.66% (-0.349 -0.35)
Juventus Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.261 0.26)20.54% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.412 0.41)53.04% (-0.417 -0.42)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.062000000000012 0.06)22.11% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.091000000000001 0.09)55.48% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Juventus Women 39.67%
    Arsenal Women 36.46%
    Draw 23.86%
Juventus WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 39.67%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.46%

How you voted: Juventus vs Arsenal Women

Juventus Women
34.4%
Draw
9.4%
Arsenal Women
56.3%
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