Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.