Women's Super League | Gameweek 6
Oct 30, 2022 at 2pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
2 - 1
Liverpool Women

Shaw (21'), Raso (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stengel (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-3 Man City Women
Saturday, October 22 at 11.30am in Women's Super League

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawLiverpool Women
68.9% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)18.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)12.89% (0.019 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.39% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)39.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)61.96% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.56% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)10.44% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.96% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)34.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)42.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 68.9%
    Liverpool Women 12.89%
    Draw 18.22%
Manchester City WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-0 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 8.46% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 4.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.13% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 68.9%
1-1 @ 8.59% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.22%
0-1 @ 3.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.21%
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 12.89%

Head to Head
Mar 22, 2020 2pm
Liverpool Women
P-P
Man City Women
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Man City Women
1-0
Liverpool Women
Bonner (20')
Mar 31, 2019 2pm
Man City Women
2-1
Liverpool Women
Emslie (28'), Beattie (95')
Houghton (53'), McManus (56')
Sweetman-Kirk (53' pen.)
Nov 4, 2018 2pm
Liverpool Women
0-3
Man City Women

Murray (68')
Fahey (50' og.), Parris (59', 85')
Bonner (40')