Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 22, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Cheshunt Stadium

Spurs Ladies
0 - 3
Man City Women

FT(HT: 0-1)
Shaw (41', 47'), Hemp (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Tottenham Hotspur Ladies and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

All competitions
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-0 Liverpool Women
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 4-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 18.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur LadiesDrawManchester City Women
18.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)20.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)60.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.79% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.33% (-0.07 -0.07)39.67% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98% (-0.073 -0.07)62.02% (0.073 0.07)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.97% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)35.02% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.23% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)71.77% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)12.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.3% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)38.7% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 18.43%
    Manchester City Women 60.9%
    Draw 20.66%
Tottenham Hotspur LadiesDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 5.03% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.63% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.43% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 18.43%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.66%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.47% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 60.9%

How you voted: Spurs Ladies vs Man City Women

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Manchester City Women
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30pm
Spurs Ladies
0-1
Man City Women

Neville (70'), Harrop (90+2')
Weir (64')
Greenwood (59'), Roebuck (81')
Sep 12, 2021 6.45pm
Man City Women
1-2
Spurs Ladies
Hemp (6')
Morgan (11')
Deman (61'), Benameur (86' og.)
Neville (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Spurs Ladies
0-3
Man City Women
Leigh Spencer (5' og.), Beckie (38'), Weir (61')
Oct 4, 2020 12.30pm
Man City Women
4-1
Spurs Ladies
Kelly (33', 51' pen.), Mewis (53'), White (68')
Greenwood (48')
Filbey (80')
Green (43'), Dean (44'), Harrop (64')
Apr 26, 2020 2pm
Man City Women
P-P
Spurs Ladies