Women's Super League | Gameweek 3
Sep 25, 2022 at 4pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
2 - 0
Man City Women

Kirby (42'), Naevdal Mjelde (78' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Women's Super League

Manchester City Women

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-3 Man City Women
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester City Women
44.12% (0.055999999999997 0.06)23.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.26% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.62% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (0.021999999999998 0.02)40.16% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (0.022999999999996 0.02)62.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (0.033000000000001 0.03)18.52% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (0.054000000000002 0.05)49.76% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)24.37% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.78% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 44.12%
    Manchester City Women 32.26%
    Draw 23.62%
Chelsea WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 44.12%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.26%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Man City Women

Chelsea Women
72.7%
Draw
0.0%
Manchester City Women
27.3%
11
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Chelsea Women
3-2
Man City Women
Kerr (33', 99'), Cuthbert (63')
Carter (81')
Hemp (42'), Raso (89')
Kennedy (31'), Bronze (54')
Feb 6, 2022 12.30pm
Chelsea Women
1-0
Man City Women
Reiten (14')
Nov 14, 2021 3pm
Man City Women
0-4
Chelsea Women

Greenwood (74')
Fleming (2'), Kerr (45+4'), Kirby (52'), Ericsson (55')
Apr 21, 2021 6pm
Man City Women
2-2
Chelsea Women
Kelly (29'), Hemp (74')
Greenwood (77')
Kerr (25'), Mosegaard-Harder (34' pen.)
Oct 11, 2020 2.30pm
Chelsea Women
3-1
Man City Women
Naevdal Mjelde (36' pen.), Kerr (57'), Kirby (79')
Bright (33'), Naevdal Mjelde (88')
Kelly (73' pen.)
White (36'), Mewis (45+3')