Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Sep 25, 2022 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fran Kirby 42' goal
  • Maren Naevdal Mjelde 78' goal

Chelsea Women vs Manchester City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 5.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Samantha Kerr

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 12.30pm
Aston Villa 4 - 3 Man City
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Khadija Shaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result

Chelsea Women 44.12% (+0.06)
Draw 23.63% (-0.01)
Manchester City Women 32.26% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.62% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.84% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 40.16% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 37.47% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 62.53% (-0.02)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 81.48% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.52% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 50.24% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 49.76% (-0.05)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 75.63% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.37% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 41.22% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.78% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 44.12%
Draw 23.62%
Manchester City Women 32.26%
Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.61% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 44.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.62%
Manchester City Women
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.26%

Head to Head

Women's FA Cup
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Samantha Kerr 33' goal
  • Erin Cuthbert 63' goal
  • Jessica Carter 81' yellowcard
  • Samantha Kerr 99' goal
  • yellowcard Alanna Kennedy 31'
  • goal Lauren Hemp 42'
  • yellowcard Lucy Bronze 54'
  • goal Hayley Raso 89'
Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 6, 2022 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Guro Reiten 14' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 7
Nov 14, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alex Greenwood 74' yellowcard
  • goal Jessie Fleming 2'
  • goal Samantha Kerr 45'+4'
  • goal Fran Kirby 52'
  • goal Magdalena Ericsson 55'
Women's Super League Gameweek 13
Apr 21, 2021 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Chloe Kelly 29' goal
  • Lauren Hemp 74' goal
  • Alex Greenwood 77' yellowcard
  • goal Samantha Kerr 25'
  • goal Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 34'
Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Oct 11, 2020 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Millie Bright 33' yellowcard
  • Maren Naevdal Mjelde 36' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 57' goal
  • Fran Kirby 79' goal
  • Maren Naevdal Mjelde 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellen White 36'
  • yellowcard Samantha Mewis 45'+3'
  • goal Chloe Kelly 73'
Women's Super League Gameweek 11
Feb 23, 2020 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ellen White 22' goal
  • Georgia Stanway 60' goal
  • Lauren Hemp 76' goal
  • goal Ji So-yun 39'
  • goal Magdalena Ericsson 68'
  • goal Bethany England 74'