Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
