Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 67.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
