Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 67.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 67.42% | 18.21% | 14.37% |
| Both teams to score 56.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.05% | 35.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.95% | 58.04% |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.19% | 9.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.41% | 32.58% |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.39% | 37.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.61% | 74.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 4.47% 4-1 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-2 @ 2.14% 5-0 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 2.03% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.2% Total : 67.42% | 1-1 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.76% 0-0 @ 3.69% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.21% | 1-2 @ 4.1% 0-1 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.02% Total : 14.37% |


