Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 35.77% | 26.16% | 38.06% |
| Both teams to score 53.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.08% | 50.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.21% | 72.79% |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% | 26.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% | 61.16% |
| Score Analysis |
Manchester United Women 35.77%
Manchester City Women 38.06%
Draw 26.16%
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.16% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.06% |


