Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 95.02%. A draw had a probability of 3.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 1.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.63%) and 5-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.86%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.