Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
0 - 1
Lyon

FT(HT: 0-1)
Maanum (45+1' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Arsenal Women
Sunday, December 11 at 4.15pm in Women's Super League

Lyon Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 4-0 Zurich
Wednesday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawLyon Women
38.85% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)24.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 58.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)44.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.013999999999996 0.01)22.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.17% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)58.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 38.85%
    Lyon Women 36.36%
    Draw 24.78%
Arsenal WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 38.85%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 36.36%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Lyon

Arsenal Women
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Lyon Women
12.5%
32
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Lyon
1-5
Arsenal Women
Malard (27')
Renard (44')
Foord (13', 67'), Maanum (23'), Mead (45+1', 69')