Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 15, 2023 at 12pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
1 - 1
Chelsea Women

Little (57' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kerr (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Zurich 1-9 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, December 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 PSG
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
22.92% (2.066 2.07)22.84% (0.087 0.09)54.24% (-2.151 -2.15)
Both teams to score 56.43% (2.619 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.51% (2.093 2.09)43.49% (-2.089 -2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11% (2.025 2.03)65.89% (-2.022 -2.02)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.16% (3.116 3.12)32.84% (-3.112 -3.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (3.327 3.33)69.41% (-3.324 -3.32)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03%15.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.74% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)45.26% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 22.92%
    Chelsea Women 54.24%
    Draw 22.84%
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 5.96% (0.454 0.45)
1-0 @ 5.84% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.25% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.334 0.33)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.307 0.31)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 22.92%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.416 0.42)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.909 -0.91)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.837 -0.84)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.4% (-0.512 -0.51)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.255 0.26)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.117 0.12)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 54.24%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 12.30pm
Semi-Finals
Arsenal Women
0-2
Chelsea Women

Mead (48')
Reiten (50'), So-yun (61')
Cuthbert (65')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Chelsea Women
0-0
Arsenal Women

Reiten (52')

Maritz (44'), Walti (53')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Final
Arsenal Women
0-3
Chelsea Women

Mead (8'), McCabe (66'), Parris (80')
Kirby (3'), Kerr (57', 77')
Cuthbert (45')
Sep 5, 2021 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
3-2
Chelsea Women
Miedema (14'), Mead (49', 60')
McCabe (23'), Parris (85')
Cuthbert (44'), Mosegaard-Harder (64')
Ericsson (66')
Feb 10, 2021 7pm
Chelsea Women
3-0
Arsenal Women
Mosegaard-Harder (48', 58'), Kirby (90')
Leupolz (22'), So-yun (43')

Williamson (89')