Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 21, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
 

Zurich
1 - 9
Arsenal Women

Humm (64' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-4)
Maanum (18', 32', 51'), Foord (23', 68'), Blackstenius (45+1', 54'), Little (71' pen.), Iwabuchi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Zurich Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Juventus 5-0 Zurich
Thursday, December 15 at 6.30pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: Arsenal Women 0-1 Lyon
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Zurich Women had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-3 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Zurich Women win it was 2-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-9 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Zurich WomenDrawArsenal Women
10.79% (0.103 0.1)15.78% (0.072999999999999 0.07)73.42% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.94% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.54% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)33.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.75% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)55.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Zurich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.52% (0.161 0.16)41.48% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.02% (0.141 0.14)77.98% (-0.143 -0.14)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.17% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)7.83% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.22% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)27.78% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Zurich Women 10.79%
    Arsenal Women 73.42%
    Draw 15.78%
Zurich WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 3.2% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 2.86% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 10.79%
1-1 @ 7.28% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.78%
0-2 @ 10.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 8.95% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 7.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-4 @ 5.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 5.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.46% (0.014 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-6 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 73.42%

How you voted: Zurich vs Arsenal Women

Zurich Women
21.4%
Draw
7.1%
Arsenal Women
71.4%
14
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2022 8pm
Arsenal Women
3-1
Zurich
Nobbs (38'), Hurtig (45+1', 78')
Piubel (76')
Bernauer (36')