Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 82.45%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 6.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.