Women's FA Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 15, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Leigh Sports Village Stadium

Man Utd Women
3 - 2
Brighton Women

Galton (47'), Russo (71'), Deman (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Earps (36' og.), Carter (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's FA Cup clash between Manchester United Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-4 Man Utd Women
Saturday, April 1 at 11.30am in Women's Super League

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-4 Man Utd Women
Saturday, April 1 at 11.30am in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 82.45%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 6.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
82.45% (0.085999999999999 0.09)10.58% (-0.154 -0.15)6.98% (0.0741 0.07)
Both teams to score 60.14% (1.482 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.93% (1.267 1.27)19.07% (-1.262 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.24% (1.817 1.82)36.76% (-1.812 -1.81)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.6% (0.235 0.23)3.41% (-0.2291 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.08% (0.76899999999999 0.77)14.92% (-0.763 -0.76)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.26% (1.389 1.39)37.75% (-1.383 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (1.327 1.33)74.52% (-1.321 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 82.45%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 6.98%
    Draw 10.58%
Manchester United WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
3-0 @ 8.27% (-0.362 -0.36)
3-1 @ 8.06% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 6.99% (-0.165 -0.16)
4-1 @ 6.81% (0.097 0.1)
5-0 @ 4.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 4.6% (0.153 0.15)
1-0 @ 4.35% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.126 0.13)
4-2 @ 3.32% (0.168 0.17)
6-0 @ 2.66% (0.04 0.04)
6-1 @ 2.59% (0.134 0.13)
5-2 @ 2.24% (0.155 0.16)
7-0 @ 1.28% (0.044 0.04)
6-2 @ 1.26% (0.11 0.11)
7-1 @ 1.25% (0.087 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 82.45%
1-1 @ 4.23% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.29% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 10.58%
1-2 @ 2.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.25% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 6.98%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 11.30am
Brighton Women
0-4
Man Utd Women

Zigiotti-Olme (40'), Pattinson (52')
Galton (12', 66'), Deman (86'), Garcia (87')
Oct 16, 2022 12pm
Man Utd Women
4-0
Brighton Women
Toone (14', 26'), Galton (40'), Leon (78')
Zelem (36')
Apr 3, 2022 12pm
Man Utd Women
1-0
Brighton Women
Galton (68')

Koivisto (34')
Dec 12, 2021 12.30pm
Brighton Women
0-2
Man Utd Women

Williams (80')
Ladd (45+1'), Boe Risa (69')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Brighton Women
1-0
Man Utd Women
Kaagman (25' pen.)
Brazil (45')

Thorisdottir (24')