Women's Super League | Gameweek 1

Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Brighton Women
2 - 6
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 1-5)

Staniforth (15'), Hanson (17'), Nobbs (23', 43', 69'), Daly (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Brighton Women
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Aston Villa Women

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Brighton Women
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
35% ( -0.88)	24.78% ( -0.05)	40.22% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 58.34% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

0.13)

44.82% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83% (

0.12)

67.18% (

-0.12)

Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

-0.44)

24.99% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

-0.61)

59.64% (

0.62)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

0.52)

22.23% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

0.78)

55.66% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion Women 35%

Aston Villa Women 40.22%

Draw 24.77%

Brighton & Hove Albion Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 35%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77%	1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.22%