Women's Super League Gameweek 15
Mar 12, 2023 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Samantha Kerr 23' goal

Chelsea Women vs Manchester United Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 8, 2023 7.30pm
Chelsea 3 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Samantha Kerr

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Mar 5, 2023 12.30pm
Man Utd 5 - 1 Leicester
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Leah Galton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result

Chelsea Women 58.14% (+3.98)
Draw 22.56% (-1.41)
Manchester United Women 19.3% (-2.57)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.16% (+2.64)
Under 2.5 46.84% (-2.64)
Over 3.5 30.91% (+2.43)
Under 3.5 69.1% (-2.42)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 84.19% (+2.37)
Under 0.5 15.81% (-2.36)
Over 1.5 55.02% (+4.19)
Under 1.5 44.98% (-4.18)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 61.71% (-1.13)
Under 0.5 38.29% (+1.14)
Over 1.5 24.95% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 75.05% (+1.11)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 58.12%
Draw 22.56%
Manchester United Women 19.3%
Chelsea Women
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.35)
2-0 @ 10.29% (+0.48)
2-1 @ 9.89% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 6.33% (+0.75)
3-1 @ 6.08% (+0.56)
4-0 @ 2.92% (+0.54)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.19)
4-1 @ 2.8% (+0.45)
4-2 @ 1.35% (+0.18)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-80.13)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-79.37)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 58.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.67)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.70)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.56%
Manchester United Women
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.88)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.50)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.52)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 19.3%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 7
Nov 6, 2022 6.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alessia Russo 71' goal
  • goal Samantha Kerr 60'
  • goal Lauren James 64'
  • goal Erin Cuthbert 90'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 22
May 8, 2022 12.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Erin Cuthbert 18' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 46' goal
  • Guro Reiten 51' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 66' goal
  • Jessie Fleming 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayley Ladd 11'
  • goal Martha Thomas 13'
  • goal Ella Toone 25'
Women's Super League Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2021 12.30pm
1
6
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Alessia Russo 48' goal
  • goal Fran Kirby 2'
  • goal Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 24'
  • goal Samantha Kerr 41'
  • goal Samantha Kerr 51'
  • goal Drew Spence 87'
  • goal Jessie Fleming 90'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 30' goal
  • Fran Kirby 65' goal
  • Guro Reiten 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Lauren James 61'
  • yellowcard Jackie Groenen 75'
Women's Super League Gameweek 2
Sep 6, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Lotta Okvist 76' yellowcard
  • Leah Galton 79' goal
  • Katie Zelem 85' yellowcard
  • goal Samantha Kerr 25'
Women's Super League Gameweek 9
May 12, 2020 7.30pm