Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 86.45%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 4.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 4-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.32%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (1.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.