Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium

B'ham Women
0 - 2
Brighton Women

FT(HT: 0-2)
Pattinson (28'), Carter (32' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 B'ham Women
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Women win with a probability of 48%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
48% (0.184 0.18)21.82% (0.019000000000002 0.02)30.18% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 67.25% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.68% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)32.31% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.07% (-0.256 -0.26)53.93% (0.251 0.25)
Birmingham City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.94% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)14.06% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)41.63% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)21.75% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.348 -0.35)54.93% (0.343 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City Women 48%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 30.18%
    Draw 21.82%
Birmingham City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
Brighton Women
1-3
B'ham Women
Zigiotti-Olme (84')
Kerkdijk (22'), Le Tissier (74')
Sarri (9'), Quinn (75', 88')
Smith (86')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
B'ham Women
0-5
Brighton Women
Williams (2'), Kaagman (45+1' pen.), Carter (50'), Koivisto (58'), Green (70')
Symonds (80'), Simpkins (90+5')
Sep 6, 2020 2pm
Brighton Women
2-0
B'ham Women
Connolly (59'), Kaagman (61')

Holloway (66'), Scott (71'), Napier (81'), Mayling (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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