Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
 

Brighton Women
1 - 2
Man City Women

Terland (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Shaw (21', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Brighton Women
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man City Women 3-1 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 91.12%. A draw had a probability of 6.5% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 2.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.49%) and 0-2 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.09%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-0 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawManchester City Women
2.37% (0.038 0.04)6.52% (0.111 0.11)91.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
Both teams to score 38.44% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.03% (-0.407 -0.41)22.97% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.78% (-0.553 -0.55)42.22% (0.554 0.55)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.57% (-0.114 -0.11)60.43% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.13% (-0.056099999999999 -0.06)90.87% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.14% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)2.86% (0.075 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.97% (-0.271 -0.27)13.02% (0.272 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 2.37%
    Manchester City Women 91.1%
    Draw 6.52%
Brighton & Hove Albion WomenDrawManchester City Women
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 2.37%
1-1 @ 3.09% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 1.39% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 6.52%
0-3 @ 12.93% (0.08 0.08)
0-4 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.91% (0.15 0.15)
0-5 @ 8.17% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 5.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.055 0.05)
0-6 @ 4.84% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-5 @ 4.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-7 @ 2.46% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-6 @ 2.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-7 @ 1.24% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-8 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 91.1%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2022 2pm
Man City Women
3-1
Brighton Women
Sarri (11' og.), Blakstad (19'), Coombs (26')
Lee (90+3')
Sarri (33')
Apr 30, 2022 11.30am
Man City Women
7-2
Brighton Women
Shaw (3', 12', 57', 61'), Weir (16'), Greenwood (68'), Hemp (69')
Kaagman (21' pen.), Zigiotti-Olme (45')
Simpkins (90+2'), Simpkins (90+2')
Jan 9, 2022 12pm
Brighton Women
0-6
Man City Women

Carter (29'), Whelan (58')
Williams (48' og.), Hemp (50'), Stanway (51'), Coombs (55'), Raso (73'), Losada (76')
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Brighton Women
1-7
Man City Women
Jarrett (69')
Weir (12', 16'), Houghton (41', 61'), White (58'), Kelly (73'), Beckie (77')
Sep 13, 2020 2pm
Man City Women
0-0
Brighton Women

Bowman (38')