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Women's Super League | Gameweek 14
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
3 - 1
Spurs Ladies

Shaw (45+2', 47' pen., 83')
Aleixandri (49'), Houghton (73'), Greenwood (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ildhusoy (31')
Spence (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Tottenham Hotspur Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 2-1 Arsenal Women
Saturday, February 11 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-2 Man Utd Women
Sunday, February 12 at 12pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

Man City have won seven of their last nine competitive home games, and we think that they will claim another home victory when they face a Tottenham side who are currently bereft of confidence following seven consecutive league defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 78.14%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
78.14% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27) 13.32% (0.139 0.14) 8.53% (0.1369 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.71% (-0.23299999999999 -0.23)28.28% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.9% (-0.29 -0.29)49.09% (0.29 0.29)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.21% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)5.78% (0.095 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.73% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)22.26% (0.273 0.27)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.89% (0.117 0.12)42.1% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.47% (0.101 0.1)78.52% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 78.14%
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 8.53%
    Draw 13.32%
Manchester City WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.4% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 6.7% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.79% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 3.82% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.81% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 78.14%
1-1 @ 6% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.43% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.32%
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 2.11% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.91% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 8.53%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 11.30am
Mar 13, 2022 12.30pm
Sep 12, 2021 6.45pm
Man City Women
1-2
Spurs Ladies
Hemp (6')
Morgan (11')
Deman (61'), Benameur (86' og.)
Neville (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
Spurs Ladies
0-3
Man City Women
Leigh Spencer (5' og.), Beckie (38'), Weir (61')
Oct 4, 2020 12.30pm
Man City Women
4-1
Spurs Ladies
Kelly (33', 51' pen.), Mewis (53'), White (68')
Greenwood (48')
Filbey (80')
Green (43'), Dean (44'), Harrop (64')
rhs 2.0
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