Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 78.14%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Women	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
78.14% ( -0.27)	13.32% ( 0.14)	8.53% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.71% (

-0.23)

28.28% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.9% (

-0.29)

49.09% (

0.29)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.21% (

-0.09)

5.78% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.73% (

-0.27)

22.26% (

0.27)

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.89% (

0.12)

42.1% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.47% (

0.1)

78.52% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Women 78.14%

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 8.53%

Draw 13.32%

Manchester City Women	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.8% Total : 78.14%	1-1 @ 6% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.32%	1-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 8.53%