Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The Dripping Pan

Lewes Women
1 - 3
Man Utd Women

Kraft (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Russo (8'), Boe Risa (68'), Parris (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Lewes Women and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lewes Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Next Game: Man Utd Women vs. West Ham
Saturday, March 25 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 67.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Lewes Women had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Lewes Women win it was 1-0 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Lewes WomenDrawManchester United Women
12.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)19.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)67.95% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 48.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)43.5% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Lewes Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)80.54%
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.00099999999999056 0)11.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.99% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lewes Women 12.96%
    Manchester United Women 67.94%
    Draw 19.1%
Lewes WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 3.68%
2-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.06%
3-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 12.96%
1-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.25%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 19.1%
0-2 @ 11.99%
0-1 @ 11.21%
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.92%
0-4 @ 4.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-5 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 67.94%