Women's Super League | Gameweek 15
Mar 12, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
4 - 0
Reading Women

Little (4' pen.), Maanum (44'), Mitchell (47' og.), Williamson (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Reading Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-0 Liverpool Women
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League

Reading Women

All competitions
Last Game: Reading Women 2-1 West Ham
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 86.98%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 4-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.28%), while for a Reading Women win it was 0-1 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawReading Women
86.98% (6.414 6.41)9.05% (-3.6821 -3.68)3.96% (-2.732 -2.73)
Both teams to score 43.18% (-3.428 -3.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.14% (6.109 6.11)26.86% (-6.108 -6.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.69% (7.378 7.38)47.31% (-7.377 -7.38)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.93% (2.238 2.24)4.06% (-2.2389 -2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.93% (6.646 6.65)17.07% (-6.647 -6.65)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.01% (-4.735 -4.74)54.99% (4.734 4.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.12% (-3.039 -3.04)87.87% (3.04 3.04)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 86.96%
    Reading Women 3.96%
    Draw 9.05%
Arsenal WomenDrawReading Women
3-0 @ 12.23% (1.08 1.08)
2-0 @ 11.45% (-0.64 -0.64)
4-0 @ 9.8% (2.097 2.1)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.353 -0.35)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-1.599 -1.6)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-1.472 -1.47)
5-0 @ 6.28% (2.021 2.02)
4-1 @ 5.86% (0.559 0.56)
5-1 @ 3.76% (0.825 0.83)
6-0 @ 3.35% (1.39 1.39)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.451 -0.45)
6-1 @ 2.01% (0.655 0.66)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
7-0 @ 1.54% (0.759 0.76)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.114 0.11)
7-1 @ 0.92% (0.384 0.38)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 86.96%
1-1 @ 4.28% (-1.744 -1.74)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.933 -0.93)
2-2 @ 2.05% (-0.815 -0.82)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 9.05%
0-1 @ 1.34% (-0.843 -0.84)
1-2 @ 1.28% (-0.793 -0.79)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 3.96%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 6.45pm
Reading Women
0-1
Arsenal Women

Primmer (41')
Blackstenius (30')
Mar 2, 2022 7.15pm
Arsenal Women
4-0
Reading Women
Miedema (22'), McCabe (24'), Williamson (34'), Blackstenius (72')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
0-4
Arsenal Women

Rowe (23')
Beattie (17'), Mead (30'), Miedema (32', 50')
McCabe (84')
Jan 17, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
1-1
Arsenal Women
Bruton (5')
Fishlock (58')
Miedema (40')
Wubben-Moy (26'), Walti (76')
Sep 6, 2020 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
6-1
Reading Women
Little (15'), Miedema (33', 78'), Roord (40', 63', 81')
Maritz (42'), Maier (83')
Carter (89')
Bruton (56'), Fishlock (60'), Harding (69')