Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.