Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Apr 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Arsenal Women2 - 1Man City Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-0 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, March 29 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Wednesday, March 29 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 26 at 12.40pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, March 26 at 12.40pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
34
We said: Arsenal Women 1-1 Manchester City Women
The hosts have won six of their eight home league games this season, but we think they may have to settle for a point when they face a Man City side who will have fresher legs following Arsenal's European exploits in midweek. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal Women in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
38.27% ( 7.49) | 24.48% ( 0.12) | 37.26% ( -7.61) |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( 1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
