Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 26, 2023 at 12.40pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
2 - 0
Chelsea Women

Angeldal (21'), Hemp (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Man City Women
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Women's FA Cup

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, March 22 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawChelsea Women
36.74% (0.433 0.43)23.66% (0.138 0.14)39.6% (-0.573 -0.57)
Both teams to score 62.71% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.76% (-0.638 -0.64)39.23% (0.636 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.43% (-0.672 -0.67)61.57% (0.669 0.67)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)21.49% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (-0.105 -0.11)54.54% (0.103 0.1)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)20.11% (0.531 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)52.37% (0.86 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 36.74%
    Chelsea Women 39.6%
    Draw 23.66%
Manchester City WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.11% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.128 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 39.6%

How you voted: Man City Women vs Chelsea Women

Manchester City Women
37.5%
Draw
20.8%
Chelsea Women
41.7%
24
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 4pm
Chelsea Women
2-0
Man City Women
Kirby (42'), Naevdal Mjelde (78' pen.)

Ouahabi (52')
May 15, 2022 2.30pm
Final
Chelsea Women
3-2
Man City Women
Kerr (33', 99'), Cuthbert (63')
Carter (81')
Hemp (42'), Raso (89')
Kennedy (31'), Bronze (54')
Feb 6, 2022 12.30pm
Chelsea Women
1-0
Man City Women
Reiten (14')
Nov 14, 2021 3pm
Man City Women
0-4
Chelsea Women

Greenwood (74')
Fleming (2'), Kerr (45+4'), Kirby (52'), Ericsson (55')
Apr 21, 2021 6pm
Man City Women
2-2
Chelsea Women
Kelly (29'), Hemp (74')
Greenwood (77')
Kerr (25'), Mosegaard-Harder (34' pen.)