Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.