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Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
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Reading Women
1 - 3
Chelsea Women

Troelsgaard (70')
Hendrix (25'), Bryson (45+3'), Troelsgaard (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carter (23'), Naevdal Mjelde (26' pen.), Reiten (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Reading Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Reading Women
Sunday, March 12 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Reading Women 1-3 Chelsea Women

The Blues claimed a narrow 3-2 victory when the two sides met in December, and although we expect Reading to be competitive once again, we think that Chelsea's quality will shine through in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 87.73%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 0-4 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Reading Women win it was 2-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
3.94% (0.072 0.07) 8.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 87.73% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.78% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)22.22% (0.096 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.8% (-0.137 -0.14)41.2% (0.133 0.13)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.18% (0.235 0.23)50.82% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.78% (0.157 0.16)85.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)3.22% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.7% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)14.3% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading Women 3.94%
    Chelsea Women 87.73%
    Draw 8.32%
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 1.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 3.94%
1-1 @ 3.81% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.21% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 8.32%
0-3 @ 11.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 9.5% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.49% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-5 @ 6.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 6.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.021 0.02)
1-5 @ 4.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-6 @ 3.74% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
1-6 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.02)
0-7 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
1-7 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 87.73%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 6.45pm
Apr 3, 2022 6.45pm
Chelsea Women
5-0
Reading Women
Fleming (40'), England (52', 90+2' pen.), Kerr (66', 77')
Dec 11, 2021 11.30am
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 10, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
0-5
Chelsea Women

Williams (45+1'), Moloney (45+2')
Kirby (16', 23', 45+2', 53'), So-yun (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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