Women's FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
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Reading Women
1 - 3
Chelsea Women

Troelsgaard (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carter (23'), Naevdal Mjelde (26' pen.), Reiten (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Reading Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading Women

All competitions
Last Game: Arsenal Women 4-0 Reading Women
Sunday, March 12 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 87.73%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 0-4 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Reading Women win it was 2-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Chelsea Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea Women.

Result
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
3.94% (0.072 0.07)8.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09)87.73% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.20800000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.78% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)22.22% (0.096 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.8% (-0.137 -0.14)41.2% (0.133 0.13)
Reading Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.18% (0.235 0.23)50.82% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.78% (0.157 0.16)85.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.77% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)3.22% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.7% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)14.3% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading Women 3.94%
    Chelsea Women 87.73%
    Draw 8.32%
Reading WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 1.29% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 1.11% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 3.94%
1-1 @ 3.81% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.21% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 8.32%
0-3 @ 11.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 9.5% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.49% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-5 @ 6.53% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 6.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.021 0.02)
1-5 @ 4.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-6 @ 3.74% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
1-6 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.18% (0.015 0.02)
0-7 @ 1.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
1-7 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 87.73%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 6.45pm
Chelsea Women
3-2
Reading Women
Kirby (16'), Cankovic (29', 33')
Troelsgaard (60'), Eikeland (61')
Cooper (49')
Apr 3, 2022 6.45pm
Chelsea Women
5-0
Reading Women
Fleming (40'), England (52', 90+2' pen.), Kerr (66', 77')
Dec 11, 2021 11.30am
Reading Women
1-0
Chelsea Women
Rose (4')
Eikeland (28')
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Chelsea Women
5-0
Reading Women
Leupolz (2'), Kirby (43', 57'), Kerr (71'), Cuthbert (75')
Jan 10, 2021 2pm
Reading Women
0-5
Chelsea Women

Williams (45+1'), Moloney (45+2')
Kirby (16', 23', 45+2', 53'), So-yun (86')