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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
3 - 3
Liverpool Women

Hanson (7', 70'), Daly (45+1')
Staniforth (85')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Stengel (37', 62'), Dowie (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-1 Man City Women
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 2-1 Liverpool Women

Aston Villa claimed a narrow win in the reverse fixture and with the Villa Park crowd spurring them on, we think that the hosts will edge out Liverpool once again to record a victory in their final home game of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawLiverpool Women
32.94% (0.628 0.63) 23.44% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 43.63% (-0.545 -0.55)
Both teams to score 62.59% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.99% (0.629 0.63)39% (-0.629 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.67% (0.657 0.66)61.32% (-0.657 -0.66)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.664 0.66)23.42% (-0.664 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (0.952 0.95)57.42% (-0.95200000000001 -0.95)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74% (0.028999999999996 0.03)18.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.69% (0.046999999999997 0.05)49.31% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 32.94%
    Liverpool Women 43.63%
    Draw 23.43%
Aston Villa WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-1 @ 7.66% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.21% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.51% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 43.63%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 7
Liverpool Women
0-1
Aston Villa
Daly (57' pen.)
Pacheco (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


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