Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
32.94% ( 0.63)	23.44% ( -0.08)	43.63% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 62.59% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.99% (

0.63)

39% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.67% (

0.66)

61.32% (

-0.66)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.57% (

0.66)

23.42% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.57% (

0.95)

57.42% (

-0.95)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74% (

0.03)

18.26% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.69% (

0.05)

49.31% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 32.94%

Liverpool Women 43.63%

Draw 23.43%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Liverpool Women
2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.94%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.68% Total : 43.63%