Women's FA Cup
Apr 16, 2023 2.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Poundland Bescot Stadium
  • goal Samantha Kerr 59'

Aston Villa Women vs Chelsea Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions

Chelsea Women

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 80.97%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Women 6.47% (+0.09)
Draw 12.56% (-0.07)
Chelsea Women 80.97% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.93% (+0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.9% (+0.73)
Under 2.5 33.09% (-0.73)
Over 3.5 45.17% (+0.83)
Under 3.5 54.83% (-0.83)
Over 4.5 26.44% (+0.72)
Under 4.5 73.56% (-0.72)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 48.99% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 51% (-0.78)
Over 1.5 14.65% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 85.34% (-0.52)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 93.75% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 6.25% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 76.42% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 23.57% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 6.47%
Draw 12.56%
Chelsea Women 80.96%
Aston Villa Women
1-0 @ 2.15% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 2% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 6.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.95% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 2.78% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 12.56%
Chelsea Women
0-2 @ 12.25% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 11.32% (-0.16)
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 8.25% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 7.85% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 7.62% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 5.29% (+0.10)
0-5 @ 4.35% (+0.02)
1-5 @ 2.93% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.57% (+0.09)
0-6 @ 2.01% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.78% (+0.08)
1-6 @ 1.36% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 80.96%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Apr 2, 2023 6.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Jelena Cankovic 22'
  • goal Guro Reiten 43'
  • goal Samantha Kerr 56'
Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Oct 30, 2022 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lauren James 22' goal
  • Lauren James 47' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 63' goal
  • goal Rachel Daly 38'
Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Mar 13, 2022 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Samantha Kerr 90'+2' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 90'+2' yellowcard
Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Nov 6, 2021 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Remi Allen 56' yellowcard
  • goal Jessie Fleming 22'
  • yellowcard Sophie Ingle 28'
  • yellowcard Jonna Andersson 90'+1'
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Mar 28, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Samantha Kerr 24' goal
  • Samantha Kerr 57' goal
  • yellowcard Olivia McLoughlin 75'
Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Jan 27, 2021 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Nadine Hanssen 45' yellowcard
  • goal Samantha Kerr 3'
  • goal Bethany England 35'
  • goal Pernille Mosegaard-Harder 68'
  • goal Magdalena Ericsson 70'
  • yellowcard Millie Bright 71'