Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Leicester Women
48.93%	25.38%	25.68%

Both teams to score 51.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.28%

51.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.51%

73.49%

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.85%

21.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.99%

54.01%

Leicester Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06%

34.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32%

71.68%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 48.93%

Leicester Women 25.68%

Draw 25.38%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Leicester Women
1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 48.93%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.68%